Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.520401 1.730113 1.960041 2.231136 2.542413 2.889089 3.305088
2025-10-26 1.197341 1.468691 1.790593 2.201773 2.714704 3.335629 4.147567
2025-11-02 0.954629 1.245552 1.613891 2.116877 2.789641 3.663722 4.894034
2025-11-09 0.767702 1.055074 1.439478 1.995105 2.784051 3.873625 5.508871
2025-11-16 0.656619 0.944674 1.349172 1.964179 2.885450 4.229757 6.368375
2025-11-23 0.567924 0.850739 1.265324 1.924699 2.960912 4.549758 7.214568
2025-11-30 0.527695 0.821013 1.268746 2.011841 3.234075 5.199108 8.666851
2025-12-07 0.483945 0.779118 1.246462 2.052722 3.435187 5.756606 10.050248
2025-12-14 0.435260 0.722614 1.192829 2.032999 3.529191 6.143452 11.192049
2025-12-21 0.385476 0.658000 1.117467 1.965053 3.527560 6.359069 12.049286
2025-12-28 0.367008 0.644427 1.126595 2.045569 3.800905 7.103690 14.020505
2026-01-04 0.348865 0.629073 1.130262 2.115459 4.061862 7.857878 16.128410
2026-01-11 0.326675 0.604929 1.117136 2.155774 4.278861 8.572752 18.312740
2026-01-18 0.305258 0.579876 1.099557 2.185446 4.479596 9.286468 20.628208
2026-01-25 0.276300 0.537095 1.043112 2.129637 4.495191 9.614535 22.138692
2026-02-01 0.245140 0.486575 0.965781 2.020579 4.381008 9.642941 22.952127
2026-02-08 0.225997 0.458287 0.930219 1.995906 4.449402 10.089588 24.859442
2026-02-15 0.207754 0.429917 0.891366 1.959025 4.484562 10.463755 26.652606
2026-02-22 0.202335 0.428052 0.908332 2.049541 4.830588 11.631737 30.738859
2026-03-01 0.193280 0.417324 0.904807 2.092116 5.066812 12.565415 34.375157
2026-03-08 0.180270 0.396488 0.876568 2.072427 5.145240 13.109022 37.021480
2026-03-15 0.164967 0.368961 0.830311 2.003292 5.087721 13.287338 38.639870
2026-03-22 0.161126 0.367457 0.844186 2.085584 5.439316 14.624727 44.022685